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What's the difference in expected performance between a Focus List Buy, a Buy and a Long Term Buy?...

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Real Questions from Real Subscribers

Q: What’s the difference in expected performance between a Focus List Buy, a Buy and a Long Term Buy?

A: Dear Subscriber,

We don't set specific performance targets for stocks, mostly because it is truly impossible to predict an individual stock’s exact returns. If we recommend a stock, you can infer that we expect it to outperform the market. The main difference is holding periods. We expect Focus List and Buy List stocks to outperform over the next 12 months, while Long-Term Buys seem capable of outstripping the market over the next 24 to 48 months.

The Focus List is a subset of the Buy List, containing our very favorites. But that favorite status is just as likely to imply a greater confidence in outperformance as an expectation of greater outperformance.

Historically, the Buy List and Focus List have outperformed the Long-Term Buy List, which tends to contain larger, safer stocks. Over time we do expect the Buy and Focus lists to continue beating the Long-Term Buy List.

Thanks for your interest,

Bob Sweet, CFA
Managing Editor, Dow Theory Forecasts

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